LED industry: the clouds Xian Shuguang the beginning of the gap

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Industry policy of the "12th Five-Year" period to implement progressively the scale of the output value is expected to start, promote the general lighting market sequentially along the public lighting, commercial lighting, the civilian market to eventually reach $ 500 billion. O ur judgment, all aspects of the Chinese led high bay lighting industry over the next few years will face a fully integrated, in line with the Government s strategic direction, with financial and technical advantages, brand and channel advantages of enterprises will eventually win in the Red Sea competition, short-term should be primarily concerned with policy dividends. performance of listed companies and the valuation of improvement.

Wide sea and diving birds to fly. During the 12th Five-Year "policy support and LED product prices will give rise to the $ 500 billion in mainland China LED market value of the scale, the annual compound growth rate of 32%. Broad market for the LED industry manufacturers to provide adequate space for development.

Policy, price drive the market in order to start. We believe that policies to promote and lower prices will jointly promote the China LED l ighting market along the public lighting, commercial lighting, commercial lighting in order to start.

2011 2012 "Twelve," the first to start the start, the central government and local governments, a series of policy mix boxing will enable the public lighting, commercial lighting will be driven by cost savings is started, the civilian market last start due to price factors.

Red Sea competition, nurture strong. The LED Statistics China s LED industry vendors more than 5,000, including more than 1,000 packaging companies. Lack of patent and technology, structural overcapacity and international manufacturers to speed up the layout so that the Chinese LED manufacturers face competition in the Red Sea. All aspects of the Chinese LED industry will likely face in the coming years, large-scale integration. This is the best of times and the worst of times, the industry phase-out and integration will be bred out of the final strong, and ultimately the f ormation of the binary pattern of the leading manufacturers and have the technical characteristics coexist in China s LED industry. We believe that to become the ultimate strong must meet at least in line with the Government s strategic direction (supported by the Government), with financial and technical advantages, with one of the several conditions of the brand and channel advantages.

Taiwan s industrial chain to pick up significantly, and enhance industrial confidence. 2 quarter of 2012, LED industry as a whole showed the ring than the warming trend. May data show that the revenues of Taiwan s chip companies rose 4.80 percent, packaging company revenues increased 4.45 percent year-on-year growth trend is not yet established. Pick up the driving force is still mainly from growth in demand for backlight lighting is also slightly warmer.

Import policy, the further away the spring chill. In the first half of 2012, the central and local policies in order to import into the tonic for the industry rebound. Overall, a quarter of the industry vulnerable situation in the second quarter has begun to change, the mainland s LED industry is a cold spell further away. From our recent LED business company s large-scale research feedback needs to pick up a preliminary signal performance of listed companies is expected to ring than to pick up. We judge that the mainland high bay lighting overall demand trend warmer still accompanied by the policy of gradual landing, and will have a substantial year-on-year growth in the second half of the performance of the company.